Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 0.034819 0.040270 0.046308 0.053495 0.061820 0.071166 0.082463
2026-01-25 0.026904 0.034229 0.043153 0.054838 0.069760 0.088210 0.112813
2026-02-01 0.021040 0.028779 0.038914 0.053188 0.072826 0.098977 0.136585
2026-02-08 0.017515 0.025417 0.036399 0.052819 0.076839 0.110839 0.162890
2026-02-15 0.014903 0.022754 0.034233 0.052305 0.080177 0.121767 0.188983
2026-02-22 0.013228 0.021132 0.033224 0.053156 0.085387 0.135811 0.221366
2026-03-01 0.011647 0.019383 0.031713 0.052902 0.088668 0.147079 0.250674
2026-03-08 0.010131 0.017502 0.029701 0.051481 0.089724 0.154696 0.274731
2026-03-15 0.008854 0.015837 0.027804 0.049945 0.090276 0.161370 0.297823
2026-03-22 0.008147 0.015062 0.027313 0.050760 0.095000 0.175779 0.336591
2026-03-29 0.007455 0.014219 0.026584 0.051020 0.098679 0.188653 0.374081
2026-04-05 0.006830 0.013418 0.025824 0.051101 0.101982 0.201138 0.412354
2026-04-12 0.006337 0.012821 0.025401 0.051825 0.106722 0.217164 0.460353
2026-04-19 0.005959 0.012409 0.025289 0.053161 0.112881 0.236823 0.518746
2026-04-26 0.005329 0.011399 0.023854 0.051569 0.112702 0.243345 0.549741
2026-05-03 0.004888 0.010735 0.023051 0.051213 0.115115 0.255633 0.595188
2026-05-10 0.004485 0.010100 0.022233 0.050715 0.117130 0.267257 0.640670
2026-05-17 0.004229 0.009762 0.022019 0.051540 0.122248 0.286471 0.706725
2026-05-24 0.003917 0.009259 0.021378 0.051294 0.124812 0.300060 0.760953
2026-05-31 0.003560 0.008605 0.020317 0.049917 0.124470 0.306670 0.798575
2026-06-07 0.003232 0.007985 0.019263 0.048428 0.123660 0.312024 0.833697
2026-06-14 0.003072 0.007759 0.019130 0.049219 0.128723 0.332703 0.912348
2026-06-21 0.002894 0.007467 0.018801 0.049471 0.132418 0.350326 0.985215